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Bosnia and Herzegovina counted · Part 05 of 09

Fewer and older

A census is a single day. The age of a place on that day says what came before, how many children were born and how many young people left, and a good deal about what comes next.

The answer

The average resident in 2013 was 39.5 years old: 38.5 in the Federation, 41.4 in the RS. In 81 of the 142 units, people of 65 and over outnumbered children under 15. The RS office’s estimates have the RS losing 65,710 residents from 2013 to 2025 (5.6%); only 7 of its 62 municipalities grew.
39.5
average age, 2013
92
people of 65+ for every 100 children under 15
-5.6%
RS residents, 2013 to 2025, RS office estimates

Five-year groups, 2013

The RS is older than the Federation

The RS pyramid, in solid bars, against the Federation’s, in outline, both as shares so their sizes do not matter. The RS has fewer people under 40 and more over 55. For every 100 children, the RS had 117 people of 65 or more; the Federation had 80.

Republika Srpska, with the Federation

1,228,423 residents
MenWomen
  1. 85+
  2. 80-84
  3. 75-79
  4. 70-74
  5. 65-69
  6. 60-64
  7. 55-59
  8. 50-54
  9. 45-49
  10. 40-44
  11. 35-39
  12. 30-34
  13. 25-29
  14. 20-24
  15. 15-19
  16. 10-14
  17. 5-9
  18. 0-4
Share of all residents in each group · outline: Federation

Source: Agency for Statistics of BiH, census 2013 final results · Book 1, table 3.1

Municipality by municipality

How old each place is

The youngest places are in the north-west around Bužim, Cazin and Velika Kladuša, in the band between Tuzla and Zenica, and in parts of central Bosnia. The oldest are the western highlands along the Croatian border, Bosansko Grahovo, Drvar, Glamoč, and the mountains south and east of Sarajevo: Trnovo, Kalinovik, Istočni Stari Grad.

Average age, 2013. Point at a municipality.

<3838–4040–4242–4444+

Source: Agency for Statistics of BiH, census 2013 final results · Book 1, table 3.1

Municipalities of 2,000 or more

The oldest and the youngest

Oldest

  1. 1Bosansko Grahovo52.1441 per 100 children
  2. 2Drvar48.3281 per 100 children
  3. 3Kalinovik48.1278 per 100 children
  4. 4Pelagićevo46.0220 per 100 children
  5. 5Glamoč45.8202 per 100 children
  6. 6Trnovo45.7207 per 100 children
  7. 7Han Pijesak45.5196 per 100 children
  8. 8Petrovo45.1192 per 100 children
  9. 9Bosanski Petrovac44.9179 per 100 children
  10. 10Ribnik44.8171 per 100 children

Youngest

  1. 1Bužim32.333 per 100 children
  2. 2Velika Kladuša34.344 per 100 children
  3. 3Sapna34.747 per 100 children
  4. 4Cazin34.945 per 100 children
  5. 5Tešanj35.447 per 100 children
  6. 6Doboj Jug35.846 per 100 children
  7. 7Kalesija35.847 per 100 children
  8. 8Žepče36.357 per 100 children
  9. 9Novi Travnik36.357 per 100 children
  10. 10Živinice36.454 per 100 children

Source: Agency for Statistics of BiH, census 2013 final results · Book 1, table 3.1

RS office estimates, 2013–2025

What the RS has estimated since

The RS office publishes a mid-year estimate for every municipality, every year, as a spreadsheet. It starts from its own 2013 count and adds births, subtracts deaths and moves residents who register a change of address. People who leave the country without telling anyone are not subtracted, so the estimates are more likely to be too high than too low. Even so, they fall almost everywhere. The few that grow are Banja Luka and Laktaši next to it, Trebinje, Istočno Novo Sarajevo, and a few very small municipalities where a few hundred people make a large percentage.

The Federation’s office publishes municipal estimates only inside PDF bulletins, and Brčko’s leaves out migration abroad altogether, so the Federation and Brčko are hatched here rather than drawn from figures that do not match.

Estimated residents, 2013 to 2025. Point at an RS municipality.

−10% or more−2% to −10%within 2%+2% to +10%+10% or moreNo comparable estimate

Fell the most

  1. 1Oštra Luka-31.3%−851
  2. 2Kupres (RS)-26.5%−78
  3. 3Krupa na Uni-24.5%−384
  4. 4Ribnik-21.4%−1,254
  5. 5Kalinovik-21.2%−418
  6. 6Berkovići-20.9%−429
  7. 7Kneževo-20.8%−1,961
  8. 8Petrovo-17.9%−1,138

Grew, or fell the least

  1. 1Petrovac81.5%+291
  2. 2Istočni Drvar63.6%+49
  3. 3Istočno Novo Sarajevo30.3%+3,130
  4. 4Banja Luka3.7%+6,668
  5. 5Laktaši2.3%+788
  6. 6Trebinje1.8%+503
  7. 7Trnovo0.9%+18
  8. 8Bijeljina-1.0%−999

Source: Statistics Institute of the Republika Srpska (RZS RS) · mid-year population estimates 2013–2025, table 4; Doboj and Stanari summed